COT F&O U.S. Dollar & COT F&O Money Flow Table

U.S. Dollar Index and the Commercial Traders COT Futures and Options Stochastic Weighted Average of Net Long As A % of Open Interest:

U.S. Dollar Index and the NonreportableTraders COT Futures and Options Stochastic Weighted Average of Net Long As A % of Open Interest:

Gold and the Commercial Traders COT Futures and Options Stochastic Weighted Average of Net Long As A % of Open Interest:

Gold London P.M Fixed and the Commercial Traders COT Futures and Options Net Long As A % of Open Interest:

COT F&O Money Flows Table:

Observations -

• Commercial traders and nonreportables weighted stochastic reveals the continuation of aggressive outflows and inflows during the dollar rally, respectively. In other words, the strong hands have been the sellers and the weak hands have been the buyers. This is a classic bearish setup that awaits a technical sell signal to complete.
• An overweight COT short position by the commercial traders at the onset rally failed to predict an intermediate top from 2005 to 2006 and 2007 to 2008. Note that the 2007-2008 overweight short position was not as extreme prior to the breakout. The overweight short position from 2009 (October) to 2010 should also fail to predict an intermediate top.